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@@ -142,7 +142,7 @@ Economists and financiers often define the **supply of money** as an | |
economy-wide sum of **cash** plus **deposits**. | ||
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In a **fractional reserve banking system** (one in which the reserve | ||
ratio :math:`r` satisfying :math:`0 < r < 1`), **banks create money** by issuing deposits *backed* by fractional reserves plus loans that they make to their customers. | ||
ratio :math:`r` satisfies :math:`0 < r < 1`), **banks create money** by issuing deposits *backed* by fractional reserves plus loans that they make to their customers. | ||
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A geometric series is a key tool for understanding how banks create | ||
money (i.e., deposits) in a fractional reserve system. | ||
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@@ -177,7 +177,7 @@ bank stating promises to redeem note for gold or silver on demand). | |
.. Dongchen: is there a way to add a little balance sheet here? | ||
.. with assets on the left side and liabilities on the right side? | ||
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Ecah bank :math:`i` sets its reserves to satisfy the equation | ||
Each bank :math:`i` sets its reserves to satisfy the equation | ||
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.. math:: | ||
:label: reserves | ||
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@@ -554,15 +554,15 @@ The **present value** of the lease is | |
where the last line uses the formula for an infinite geometric series. | ||
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Recall that :math:`R = 1+r` and :math:`G = 1+g` and that :math:`R > G` | ||
and :math:`r > g` and that :math:`r` and\ :math:`g` are typically small | ||
and :math:`r > g` and that :math:`r` and :math:`g` are typically small | ||
numbers, e.g., .05 or .03. | ||
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Use the Taylor series of :math:`\frac{1}{1+r}` about :math:`r=0`, | ||
namely, | ||
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.. math:: \frac{1}{1+r} = 1 - r + r^2 - r^3 + \cdots | ||
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and the fact that :math:`r` is small to aproximate | ||
and the fact that :math:`r` is small to approximate | ||
:math:`\frac{1}{1+r} \approx 1 - r`. | ||
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Use this approximation to write :math:`p_0` as | ||
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@@ -619,26 +619,26 @@ We could have also approximated by removing the second term | |
approximation. | ||
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We will plot the true finite stream present-value and the two | ||
approximations, under different values of :math:`T`, and :math:`g` and :math:`r` in python. | ||
approximations, under different values of :math:`T`, and :math:`g` and :math:`r` in Python. | ||
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First we plot the true finite stream present-value after computing it | ||
below | ||
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.. code-block:: python3 | ||
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# True present value of a finite lease | ||
def finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
def finite_lease_pv_true(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
G = (1 + g) | ||
R = (1 + r) | ||
return (x_0 * (1 - G**(T + 1) * R**(-T - 1))) / (1 - G * R**(-1)) | ||
# First approximation for our finite lease | ||
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def finite_lease_pv_approx_f(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
def finite_lease_pv_approx_1(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
p = x_0 * (T + 1) + x_0 * r * g * (T + 1) / (r - g) | ||
return p | ||
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# Second approximation for our finite lease | ||
def finite_lease_pv_approx_s(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
def finite_lease_pv_approx_2(T, g, r, x_0): | ||
return (x_0 * (T + 1)) | ||
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# Infinite lease | ||
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@@ -648,25 +648,32 @@ below | |
return x_0 / (1 - G * R**(-1)) | ||
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Now that we have test run our functions, we can plot some outcomes. | ||
Now that we have defined our functions, we can plot some outcomes. | ||
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First we study the quality of our approximations | ||
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.. code-block:: python3 | ||
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def plot_function(axes, x_vals, func, args): | ||
axes.plot(x_vals, func(*args), label=func.__name__) | ||
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T_max = 50 | ||
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T = np.arange(0, T_max+1) | ||
g = 0.02 | ||
r = 0.03 | ||
x_0 = 1 | ||
T_max = 50 | ||
T = np.arange(0, T_max+1) | ||
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our_args = (T, g, r, x_0) | ||
funcs = [finite_lease_pv_true, | ||
finite_lease_pv_approx_1, | ||
finite_lease_pv_approx_2] | ||
## the three functions we want to compare | ||
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fig, ax = plt.subplots() | ||
ax.set_title('Finite Lease Present Value $T$ Periods Ahead') | ||
y_1 = finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0) | ||
y_2 = finite_lease_pv_approx_f(T, g, r, x_0) | ||
y_3 = finite_lease_pv_approx_s(T, g, r, x_0) | ||
ax.plot(T, y_1, label='True T-period Lease PV') | ||
ax.plot(T, y_2, label='T-period Lease First-order Approx.') | ||
ax.plot(T, y_3, label='T-period Lease First-order Approx. adj.') | ||
for f in funcs: | ||
plot_function(ax, T, f, our_args) | ||
ax.legend() | ||
ax.set_xlabel('$T$ Periods Ahead') | ||
ax.set_ylabel('Present Value, $p_0$') | ||
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@@ -686,18 +693,18 @@ over different lease lengths :math:`T`. | |
T = np.arange(0, T_max+1) | ||
fig, ax = plt.subplots() | ||
ax.set_title('Infinite and Finite Lease Present Value $T$ Periods Ahead') | ||
y_1 = finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0) | ||
y_2 = np.ones(T_max+1)*infinite_lease(g, r, x_0) | ||
ax.plot(T, y_1, label='T-period lease PV') | ||
ax.plot(T, y_2, '--', label='Infinite lease PV') | ||
f_1 = finite_lease_pv_true(T, g, r, x_0) | ||
f_2 = np.ones(T_max+1)*infinite_lease(g, r, x_0) | ||
ax.plot(T, f_1, label='T-period lease PV') | ||
ax.plot(T, f_2, '--', label='Infinite lease PV') | ||
ax.set_xlabel('$T$ Periods Ahead') | ||
ax.set_ylabel('Present Value, $p_0$') | ||
ax.legend() | ||
plt.show() | ||
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The above graphs shows how as duration :math:`T \rightarrow +\infty`, | ||
The graph above shows how as duration :math:`T \rightarrow +\infty`, | ||
the value of a lease of duration :math:`T` approaches the value of a | ||
perpetural lease. | ||
perpetual lease. | ||
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Now we consider two different views of what happens as :math:`r` and | ||
:math:`g` covary | ||
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@@ -712,30 +719,19 @@ Now we consider two different views of what happens as :math:`r` and | |
ax.set_xlabel('$T$ periods ahead') | ||
T_max = 10 | ||
T=np.arange(0, T_max+1) | ||
# r >> g, much bigger than g | ||
r = 0.9 | ||
g = 0.4 | ||
ax.plot(finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0), label='$r\gg g$') | ||
# r > g | ||
r = 0.5 | ||
g = 0.4 | ||
ax.plot(finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0), label='$r>g$', color='green') | ||
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# r ~ g, not defined when r = g, but approximately goes to straight | ||
# line with slope 1 | ||
r = 0.4001 | ||
g = 0.4 | ||
ax.plot(finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0), label=r'$r \approx g$', color='orange') | ||
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# r < g | ||
r = 0.4 | ||
g = 0.5 | ||
ax.plot(finite_lease_pv(T, g, r, x_0), label='$r<g$', color='red') | ||
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rs, gs = (0.9, 0.5, 0.4001, 0.4), (0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5), | ||
comparison = ('$\gg$', '$>$', r'$\approx$', '$<$') | ||
for triple in zip(rs, gs, comparison): | ||
r, g, comp = triple[0], triple[1], triple[2] | ||
ax.plot(finite_lease_pv_true(T, g, r, x_0), label=f'r(={r}) {comp} g(={g})') | ||
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ax.legend() | ||
plt.show() | ||
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The above graphs gives a big hint for why the condition :math:`r > g` is | ||
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This graph gives a big hint for why the condition :math:`r > g` is | ||
necessary if a lease of length :math:`T = +\infty` is to have finite | ||
value. | ||
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@@ -755,7 +751,7 @@ visualization! | |
g = np.arange(0.011, 0.991, 0.005) | ||
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rr, gg = np.meshgrid(r, g) | ||
z = finite_lease_pv(T, gg, rr, x_0) | ||
z = finite_lease_pv_true(T, gg, rr, x_0) | ||
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# Removes points where undefined | ||
same = (rr == gg) | ||
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@@ -809,10 +805,10 @@ After that, we'll use SymPy to compute derivatives | |
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We can see that for :math:`\frac{\partial p_0}{\partial r}<0` as long as | ||
:math:`r>g`, :math:`r>0` and :math:`g>0` and :math:`x_0` is positive, | ||
this equation will always be negative. | ||
so :math:`\frac{\partial p_0}{\partial r}` will always be negative. | ||
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Similarly, :math:`\frac{\partial p_0}{\partial g}>0` as long as :math:`r>g`, :math:`r>0` and :math:`g>0` and :math:`x_0` is positive, this equation | ||
will always be postive. | ||
Similarly, :math:`\frac{\partial p_0}{\partial g}>0` as long as :math:`r>g`, :math:`r>0` and :math:`g>0` and :math:`x_0` is positive, so :math:`\frac{\partial p_0}{\partial g}` | ||
will always be positive. | ||
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@@ -859,54 +855,52 @@ i.e., the fraction of income that is consumed | |
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.. code-block:: python3 | ||
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# Changing fraction of consumption | ||
b_0 = 1/3 | ||
b_1 = 2/3 | ||
b_2 = 5/6 | ||
b_3 = 0.9 | ||
bs = (1/3, 2/3, 5/6, 0.9) | ||
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fig,ax = plt.subplots() | ||
ax.set_title('Changing Consumption as a Fraction of Income') | ||
ax.set_ylabel('$y_t$') | ||
ax.set_xlabel('$t$') | ||
x = np.arange(0, T+1) | ||
for b in (b_0, b_1, b_2, b_3): | ||
for b in bs: | ||
y = calculate_y(i_0, b, g_0, T, y_init) | ||
ax.plot(x, y, label=r'$b=$'+f"{b:.2f}") | ||
ax.legend() | ||
plt.show() | ||
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Increasing the marginal propensity to consumer :math:`b` increases the | ||
path of output over time | ||
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Increasing the marginal propensity to consume :math:`b` increases the | ||
path of output over time. | ||
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Now we will compare the effects on output of increases in investment and government spending. | ||
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.. code-block:: python3 | ||
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x = np.arange(0, T+1) | ||
y_0 = calculate_y(i_0, b, g_0, T, y_init) | ||
fig, (ax1, ax2) = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize=(6, 10)) | ||
fig.subplots_adjust(hspace=0.3) | ||
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# Changing initial investment: | ||
i_1 = 0.4 | ||
y_1 = calculate_y(i_1, b, g_0, T, y_init) | ||
ax1.set_title('An Increase in Investment on Output') | ||
ax1.plot(x, y_0, label=r'$i=0.3$', linestyle='--') | ||
ax1.plot(x, y_1, label=r'$i=0.4$') | ||
ax1.legend() | ||
ax1.set_ylabel('$y_t$') | ||
ax1.set_xlabel('$t$') | ||
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# Changing government spending | ||
g_1 = 0.4 | ||
y_1 = calculate_y(i_0, b, g_1, T, y_init) | ||
ax2.set_title('An Increase in Government Spending on Output') | ||
ax2.plot(x, y_0, label=r'$g=0.3$', linestyle='--') | ||
ax2.plot(x, y_1, label=r'$g=0.4$') | ||
ax2.legend() | ||
ax2.set_ylabel('$y_t$') | ||
ax2.set_xlabel('$t$') | ||
x = np.arange(0, T+1) | ||
values = [0.3, 0.4] | ||
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for i in values: | ||
y = calculate_y(i, b, g_0, T, y_init) | ||
ax1.plot(x, y, label=f"i={i}") | ||
for g in values: | ||
y = calculate_y(i_0, b, g, T, y_init) | ||
ax2.plot(x, y, label=f"g={g}") | ||
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plots = [ax1, ax2] | ||
param_labels = ["Investment", "Government Spending"] | ||
for pair in zip(plots, param_labels): | ||
There was a problem hiding this comment. Choose a reason for hiding this commentThe reason will be displayed to describe this comment to others. Learn more. please change |
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axes = pair[0] | ||
param = pair[1] | ||
axes.set_title(f'An Increase in {param} on Output') | ||
axes.legend(loc ="lower right") | ||
axes.set_ylabel('$y_t$') | ||
axes.set_xlabel('$t$') | ||
plt.show() | ||
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Notice here, whether government spending increases from 0.3 to 0.4 or | ||
investment increases from 0.3 to 0.4, the shifts in the graphs are | ||
identical. |
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here and in the next line, you could omit the square brackets and still have the same outcome.
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Thanks -- new commit should have fixed that now.