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Add latency&revision gotchas, pseudoprospective forecasting, backcasting vignette/chapter(s) #355

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brookslogan opened this issue Sep 19, 2023 · 0 comments

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@brookslogan
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  • Overview, and why to use epix_slide()
  • Latency issues: most recent time available vs. ref_time_value
  • latency issue: mixed latency
  • pseudoprospective forecasting
  • revision MAPE curve
  • version-aware forecasting
    • apply reasonable model to one location x forecast_date x target signal demonstrating systematic biased revisions
    • make model work for more locations, potentially more signals
    • demonstrate, evaluate pseudoprospective version-aware forecasting
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