Skip to content

Commit 085dce0

Browse files
Tom's Jan 26 edits of a lecture
1 parent fbdd175 commit 085dce0

File tree

1 file changed

+18
-7
lines changed

1 file changed

+18
-7
lines changed

lectures/markov_asset.md

Lines changed: 18 additions & 7 deletions
Original file line numberDiff line numberDiff line change
@@ -170,7 +170,7 @@ It is useful to regard equation {eq}`lteeqs102` as a generalization of equatio
170170
* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, the stochastic discount factor $m_{t+1} = \beta$, a constant.
171171
* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, the covariance term ${\rm cov}_t (m_{t+1}, d_{t+1}+ p_{t+1})$ is zero because $m_{t+1} = \beta$.
172172
* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, ${\mathbb E}_t m_{t+1}$ can be interpreted as the reciprocal of the one-period risk-free gross interest rate.
173-
* When $m_{t+1}$ is covaries more negatively with the payout $p_{t+1} + d_{t+1}$, the price of the asset is lower.
173+
* When $m_{t+1}$ covaries more negatively with the payout $p_{t+1} + d_{t+1}$, the price of the asset is lower.
174174

175175
Equation {eq}`lteeqs102` asserts that the covariance of the stochastic discount factor with the one period payout $d_{t+1} + p_{t+1}$ is an important determinant of the price $p_t$.
176176

@@ -448,7 +448,19 @@ We'll price several distinct assets, including
448448

449449
Let's start with a version of the celebrated asset pricing model of Robert E. Lucas, Jr. {cite}`Lucas1978`.
450450

451-
As in {cite}`Lucas1978`, suppose that the stochastic discount factor takes the form
451+
Lucas considered an abstract pure exchange economy with these features:
452+
453+
* a single non-storable consumption good
454+
* a Markov process that governs the total amount of the consumption good available each period
455+
* a single *tree* that each period yields *fruit* that equals the total amount of consumption available to the economy
456+
* a competitive market in *shares* in the tree that entitles their owners to corresponding shares of the *dividend* stream, i.e., the *fruit* stream, yielded by the tree
457+
458+
* a representative consumer who in a competitive equilibrium
459+
460+
* consumes the economy's entire endowment each period
461+
* owns 100 percent of the shares in the tree
462+
463+
As in {cite}`Lucas1978`, we suppose that the stochastic discount factor takes the form
452464

453465
```{math}
454466
:label: lucsdf
@@ -462,10 +474,9 @@ where $u$ is a concave utility function and $c_t$ is time $t$ consumption of a r
462474

463475
Assume the existence of an endowment that follows growth process {eq}`mass_fmce`.
464476

465-
The asset being priced is a claim on the endowment process.
477+
The asset being priced is a claim on the endowment process, i.e., the *Lucas tree* described above.
466478

467-
Following {cite}`Lucas1978`, suppose further that in equilibrium, consumption
468-
is equal to the endowment, so that $d_t = c_t$ for all $t$.
479+
Following {cite}`Lucas1978`, we suppose that in equilibrium the representative consumer's consumption equals the aggregate endowment, so that $d_t = c_t$ for all $t$.
469480

470481
For utility, we'll assume the **constant relative risk aversion** (CRRA)
471482
specification
@@ -512,7 +523,7 @@ $$
512523
J(x, y) := g(y)^{1-\gamma} P(x, y)
513524
$$
514525
515-
then we can rewrite equation {eq}`eq:neweqn101} in vector form as
526+
then we can rewrite equation {eq}`eq:neweqn101` in vector form as
516527
517528
$$
518529
v = \beta J ({\mathbb 1} + v )
@@ -628,7 +639,7 @@ Notice that $v$ is decreasing in each case.
628639
This is because, with a positively correlated state process, higher states indicate higher future consumption growth.
629640
630641
With the stochastic discount factor {eq}`lucsdf2`, higher growth decreases the
631-
discount factor, lowering the weight placed on future returns.
642+
discount factor, lowering the weight placed on future dividends.
632643
633644
#### Special Cases
634645

0 commit comments

Comments
 (0)