Reliability and Calibrated Prediction (#491)

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] Adding notebooks and bib on clean branch

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] added cost function plot and varied priors.

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] updated with review comments to hide data import and plotting funcs

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] updated final plot to display nicer in thumbnail

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] added text to link bootstrap prediction intervals with posterior predictive intervals

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* update bayesian predictions to use einstats

* [Reliability Bayesian #474] fixed minor typo

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* Update reliability_and_calibrated_prediction.myst.md

Fixed typo on myst too

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>
Co-authored-by: Oriol (ZBook) <[email protected]>

Author: NathanielF