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[Hierarchical BVAR pymc-devs#286] added more explanatory text and estimated hierarchical model using blackjax nuts sampler

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

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examples/time_series
- bayesian_var_model.ipynb
myst_nbs/time_series
- bayesian_var_model.myst.md

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`‎examples/time_series/bayesian_var_model.ipynb`

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